USA Today recently published a story citing different numbers from PEW Internet Life and Intelliseek regarding teen blog usage & creation. PEW suggest that 4 million teens have created blogs while Intelliseek puts the number closer to 8 million. Why the disparity? First off, both of us got it right on the core message: teens are creating lots of content on the internet, significantly more than adults. PEW's report "Teen Content Creators and Consumers, " provides much detail on this front. The recent study we completed at Intelliseek, drawing from a rep panel of online consumers taken in August 2005, reaches similar conclusions.
Still, what's going on with the teen blog numbers? If you just look at the raw number of blogs or personal web journals on teen-centered sites like LiveJournal or MySpace, four (4) million seems to pale in comparison with the total number of actual teen blogs. BlogPulse alone monitors close to 20 million blogs, and we're probably missing millions of them. We know teens are over-represented on the authorship front. Why is there such a delta? I have a couple hypotheses:
- Timing of Study: 2005 was undoubtedly the "Year of the Blog." By all accounts, usage and penetration skyrocketed, aided by a proliferation of new players entering the blogging space, from AOL to Yahoo. Ironically, if you read the fine print of the PEW Study, it notes on the second page that the data was gathered "between October 26 and November 28, 2004, among a sample of parent-child pairs." The study may have missed one of the most significant migrations of consumers to blogs.
- Survey Requirements: But let's assume the fine print is a mistake, and they actually completed the study recently. The other part that concerns me is the use of "telephone interviews." I'll stop short of heralding online research or surveys (they have issues, innacuracies, and biases), but I do worry about how representative folks are who actually answer the phone in this "do not call" culture. My wife and I feel pretty "typical" from a consumer perspective, but we rarely answer the phone anymore. It's actually gotten worse since we've had kids. In 2003 I co-presented data to the Association of National Advertisers with the head of one of the largest market research firms, who lamented how phone based research is being severly compromised by consumer frustration and "do not call" trends. I suspect PEW has a great technique for managing around these issues, but it's still a good question to ask.
Other Data: As long as we're on the subject, what else did we learn about teen in our study. Here's a couple nuggets. Teens are nearly twice as likely to own an iPod or MP3 player than everyone else. Interestingly, they also screen advertisements at a higher rate than other segments. Nearly 50% said they use devices "that screen out online advertisements, pop-ups, or SPAM," but there's a catch. Relative to other age groups, they have higher levels of trust in advertising. Cynicism and distrust appears to grow with age (and heightened expereience with advertisers). What's going on with teens and ad screening, I believe, is a higher level of expectations around user experience. It's not that they don't "trust" Chrysler or GM to embed an ad in an online game, they just don't want the brand to interrupt or interfere with the flow. Consider, 77% of teens play video games. 31% download video clips or movies to their persona computer (far higher than other age segments except Age 20-34 yr olds). 11% of teens now subscribe to RSS feeds. Business Thought-Starters: All of this creates a genuine dilemna for advertisers: the "elusive" teen audience is, well, ever-elusive and increasingly attentive to everything else but marketing. How do you get through? Or should you?
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